국민연금 재정안정화 정책의 세대별 생애효과 분석

요 약 ·······································································································9

I. 서론 ··································································································33
1. 연구의 필요성 및 목적 ·······························································33
2. 선행연구들과의 관계 및 차별성 ·················································34
3. 연구의 구성 ·················································································38

II. 확장된 세대간회계의 방법론 ·························································39
1. Leimer(1994,2007)의 연구와 평가 ··········································40
2. 세대의 구분과 확장된 세대계정의 정의 ····································42
3. 장기예산제약식과 미래세대 세대계정의 결정 ···························46
4. 대표개인의 세대계정과 재정적 지속가능성 ·······························48

III. 국민연금의 확장된 세대간회계 ·····················································53
1. 가입자 및 수급자 이력자료의 세대별 분석 ·······························54
2. 장기재정추계의 세대별 분석 ······················································66
3. 국민연금의 확장된 세대간회계 ···················································69

IV. 재정안정화 정책의 시범적 분석 ···················································81
1. 국민연금의 재정안정화 필요성 ···················································81
2. 가상적 재정안정화 시나리오와 분석지표 ··································85
3. 분석결과의 종합과 평가 ·····························································94

V. 결론 ·······························································································103

참고문헌 ·····························································································107